Flat Panels, Cratering Sales

Here’s an article from BW about how Wal-Mart’s flat-panel TV pricing for the 2006 holidays helped destroy a number of electronics stores. Looks like the chain’s decision to sell a 42-inch Panasonic for under $1,000 sent its (partial) competitors off a price-war cliff:

Along with Wal-Mart’s determination to lower prices, two other factors played key roles in last winter’s 40%-to-50% flat-panel price drop and the ensuing turmoil. For one, many more retailers such as Sears and CompUSA were starting to stock a wider selection of flat-panel TVs after seeing demand soar over the previous two years. Also, manufacturers like Samsung, Sony, Panasonic, and Westinghouse had ramped up production last year with new factories in Asia and the U.S. They began flooding the market with new TVs in the latter half of 2006. All these forces combined to make a commodity of what just six months earlier had been a solidly high-end, high-margin entertainment product. “It’s Econ 101: Best Buy and Circuit City had seen fat margins from flat-panel TVs for a while, and as it happens with any product, eventually the margins come down and the music stops,” says David Abella, a portfolio manager at New York-based Rochdale Investment Management, with assets of $2 billion.

Wal-Mart is the second-largest electronics retailer today, behind Best Buy, which has fared relatively well compared to many of its rivals. But it has done so by imitating some of Wal-Mart’s best practices, most notably an efficient supply chain, by the admission of CEO Brad Anderson himself. It also has more diversified merchandise than other specialty-electronics retailers.

I think the collapse of CompUSA — and maybe some of the other retailers — was also triggered by the post-holiday delay of Windows Vista and the ensuing realization that Vista wasn’t a compelling reason to buy a new computer, but that’s just my pet theory. I’m sure the demolition of flat-screen margins was the biggest factor, given the amount of floor space all of these chains devoted to those TVs. I’m fascinated by the way different sectors become commoditized.

The pharma biz, which I cover, has historically been insulated against that (until a drug’s patent life expires, that is), leading to less concern about reducing manufacturing costs. That’s changing nowadays, insofar as major companies are trying to wring excess costs out of manufacturing processes, but the market prices (and the high cost of regulatory compliance) still insulate them.

It’s Science!

The thing that always struck me about Jonny Quest is: What kind of parent brings his kid to the Amazon so that yetis can throw boulders at him?

That’s just a sampling of the bizarre quotes you’ll find in this interview with Jackson Publick, one of the creators of The Venture Brothers.

Amy & I discovered this show last summer when we were visiting her family. We clicked around on Sunday night, found Adult Swim, and saw a guy in a butterfly costume confronting man in a one-piece leisure suit, as two butterfly-suited henchmen fiddled with toys like Hulk-Hands and a Magneto helmet:

The Monarch: You f—ing idiot! What are we supposed to do with this crap? Make them laugh so hard they blow malt liquor out of their noses?

Dr. Venture: No, I think you’ll have that covered when you storm the room in butterfly costumes.

The Monarch: Oh, ha ha ha heh heh. Nice onesie, dick. Does it have snaps in the back, so you can make poopies?

Henchman 24: Ohhhhh snap!!

Dr. Venture: This is a speedsuit, mister. Not a ‘onesie’!

The Monarch: Oh hey, maybe they’ll think you’re a 3-year-old with progeria, and take pity on us.

I was hooked. The first season of the show wasn’t fantastic (like all of these Adult Swim shows, it seemed to spend a chunk of its first season trying to find itself, but was way too genre-specific), but the second season’s a blast (and now out on DVD, hence the interview).

Beyond the non-sequitur insults, one of the aspects of the show that I really dug was the lost promise of the (early) 1960s. Publick talks a little about that, how Dr. Venture “is a boy genius who didn’t grow up to be what he should have been”:

Reason: And I suppose you’re not just talking about the failure of superheroes, because these fantasy science stories were produced by a culture that was high on superscience — beating the Russians to the Moon, curing every disease, etc.

JP: That’s the deeper thing behind it — it’s me voicing my disappointment that we don’t have that kind of magic going on any more, that level of enthusiasm and hope. That extends to the kind of cultural stuff that was going on in the ’60s, a youthful generation thinking they could change the world. I’m voicing my displeasure at having been born in a time when some of that magic, for lack of a better word, is gone, and some of those promises that were made in all of our pop culture were never met. My laptop is the coolest thing that’s come out of that. I’m still waiting on my jet pack.

And Patrick Warburton’s pretty funny as the bodyguard of Venture’s cloned sons.

Home Improvement

Not much blogging this weekend, dear readers, between the NBA playoffs (I only watched two full games, and bits of two others) and our repainting of the guest bedroom. It’ll look awfully nice when complete (Amy gets to blog about it and post the pix), so any of you who come to visit and get completely trashed will have a nice room to crash in! Yay!

Room-painting soundtrack thus far (I’m treading on Mad Mix territory here, but hey):

Night and Day – Joe Jackson

Simple Things – Zero 7

Lexicon of Love – ABC

Mind How You Go – Skye

Ray of Light – Madonna

Ta-Dah – Scissor Sisters

Greatest Love Songs – Tom Jones

The Wild, the Innocent & the E Street Shuffle – Bruce Springsteen

Amazingly, we’re not painting the room in glitter.

Two words: Play offs

It’s NBA Playoff time, dear readers! There’s no chance on earth that the early games will be as exciting as last year’s, but that’s no reason not to watch!

To help you along, I offer up the inaugural Official VM NBA Playoff Preview! With commentary and predictions from a truly bizarre array of people, journalists (Mitchell Prothero and Tom Spurgeon), a law professor and author (Thane Rosenbaum), and some average schmoes (me, my brother, and my buddy Craig), this preview is bound to entertain, please, and provide no useful information for gambling!

So check it out and leave us your own darn predictions in the comments! Happy hoops!

Progress, I guess

At my glamorous day job, I receive a ton of e-mail from PR firms. They pitch articles, send over news items, and announce events and new product launches. Sometimes, they enclose pictures, which is always nice; I can’t remember the last time I actually had to go to the “scanner pantry” to digitize a photo or chart.

Wading through this stuff and still being able to put out a magazine requires some heavy-duty triage. I’ve developed some techniques for clearing out a ton of these items and saving the ones that look interesting or come from firms that I know are going to give me a call two days later to ask me if I read their e-mail (note to PR staff: this is one of the most irritating things you can do).

On Monday, I received an announcement about a laboratory informatics group’s upcoming software user conference in Dubai. It contained the following image from a past event:

“How progressive!” I thought. “They’re letting a ninja attend their conference!”

Jesus, take the seatbelt

Welcome to NJ, dear readers! It’s the state where three consecutive governors have suffered broken legs while in office! Given that our state’s biggest cultural export is the Sopranos, this is starting to get a little suspicious. . .

Our most recent gubernatorial leg-breaking occurred when Jon Corzine’s SUV wiped out while traveling 91 mph up the Parkway. The guv was on his way to a Lady Knights/Imus summit, and this was important enough for his driver to blow 26 mph over the speed limit and chase cars out of the left lane. Not a smart idea, given how terrible the drivers are in NJ. You’d think he at least would’ve worn a seatbelt. (Fortunately, I wasn’t on the road with them, because I probably would’ve stayed in the lane and pretended not to see the lights.)

Anyway, the Agitator has a nice piece about the story, and the phenomenon of politicians using “official business” as an excuse to push people out of their way:

When you live in the D.C. area, this kind of thing happens all the time (not the accident, the VIPs taking over the road), and just from personal observation, I’d say it’s happening more frequently. There seems to be an increasing feeling among many politicians that their meetings, their business, and their appointments are somehow more important than everyone else’s. Therefore, they can fly down highways, ignore red lights, and purge everyone else to the side of the roadway. If they can get their own police escort or caravan, even better.

Missed by that much

I just finished reading Taliban, Ahmed Rashid’s study of the Taliban’s rise in Afghanistan, this weekend. The book was published early in 2001 (pre-9/11, that is), so its perspective about the civil war is untinged by What Would Come. Rashid does paint a very bleak picture about the region and the regime, and offers a ton of insight into how Afghanistan got so messed up.

The book is also a product of its time, of course. One of the “problems” with Taliban is that oil was priced around $13/barrel in the years leading up to its publication. That fact was a key to his understanding of Russian and Iranian policy, and it’s completely understandable; who would even entertain the notion that oil would someday trade for 5x that price?

I found myself marveling over how the country, long seen as the prize in The Great Game, achieved its present-day notoriety only when it fell under the radar and became an utterly failed state. Once “we” stopped paying attention to it, Afghanistan became the engine of the new world.

Which brings me to the end of the book. Usually, I don’t give away endings, but I don’t think I’m doing Rashid any disservice in this case. Here’s the final paragraph:

But if the war in Afghanistan continues to be ignored we can only expect the worst. Pakistan will face a Taliban-style Islamic revolution which will further destabilize it and the entire region. Iran will remain on the periphery of the world community and its eastern borders will continue to be wracked by instability. The Central Asian states will not be able to deliver their energy and mineral exports by the shortest routes and as their economies crash, they will face an Islamic upsurge and instability. Russia will continue to bristle with hegemonic aims in Central Asia even as its own society and economy crumbles. The stakes are extremely high.

I don’t mean to goof on Rashid by writing this, but isn’t it amazing how much worse it got than his most pessimistic projection?